Very tennative projected delegate counts:

I'm putting this up real fast based on results from RealClearPolitics.com. Only two states on the list that I see as changing would be California, Utah, New Mexico, possibly Arizona. There was no data for West Virginia and Montana. Still even if these numbers hold close to this its going to be a good day in the Obama camp. 185 delegates is a big gain.

State	Delegates	Clinton	Obama	Reporting	Clinton Delegate Estimate	Obama Delegate Estimate
California	370	55%	33%	17%	203	122
New York	232	57%	40%	99%	132	92
Illinois	153	34%	64%	91%	52	97
Georgia	103	34%	64%	94%	35	65
New Jersey	107	54%	44%	98%	57	47
Missouri	72	48%	49%	98%	34	35
Tennessee	68	54%	41%	98%	36	27
Massachusetts	93	56%	41%	94%	52	38
Arizona	56	51%	41%	66%	28	22
Alabama	52	42%	56%	97%	21	29
Connecticut	48	47%	51%	95%	22	24
Oklahoma	38	55%	31%	100%	20	11
Minnesota	72	32%	67%	74%	23	48
Arkansas	35	73%	24%	75%	25	8
Delaware	15	43%	53%	100%	6	7
Utah	23	42%	51%	29%	9	11
North Dakota	21	37%	61%	100%	7	12
Colorado	71	32%	66%	98%	22	46
Kansas	21	27%	73%	96%	5	15
Idaho	12	17%	81%	87%	2	9
New Mexico	26	42%	38%	1%	10	9
Alaska	18	27%	73%	60%	4	13
				Total	602	787

Why I hope Giuliani's late start approach works

I was thinking about the election today and I came to the realization that I really hope that Giuliani's plan to start late into the primary season focusing on traditionally more blue states in the Republican race works well but still fails miserably.

I want the strategy to do well enough to encourage other candidates to try it in later presidential elections. I would find it ideal if people got back to the feeling that it was OK to run for the nomination in all states rather than trying to build momentum on Iowa and Vermont. Two very nice but electorally unimportant and non representative states.

If people ran on the whole country I think we would get a more balanced campaign and candidates would have to focus on projecting their issues to the whole country rather than focusing on a few states while the rest of us sit in the cheap seats and watch the theater.

On the other hand I hope his strategy fails because I don't feel that Giuliani is qualified to be president. I wouldn't honestly follow him to the bathroom. I think he has no idea what "limited executive power" is, and I don't think that closer inspection of his real dealings Americans aren't going to find anything they like (Bernie Kerik).

And not to make light of tragedy of 9-11, but that situation will make anyone in executive power look good. The President is the prime example of this, his approval rates have had nothing but a downward trend since the immediate aftermath of that event, which probably means he was never a great president but people give you leeway when they think your saving their world.

I haven't had time to watch the entire Republican Debate, but I've read several things about and watched the above video.

I haven't made up my mind on Ron Paul but I think he has the tip of a great observation. That is that American policy over the past 50 years has caused people to in the Middle East to hate us. I don't think he had time to fully articulate it in 60 seconds.

It is certainly true that the core of the Al Quiada operation hates us completely. It is very much an irrational hate, and something that no amount of policy changes will resolve. You can find philosophical underpinnings of this movement in Qutb's book Milestones. The people who subscribe to this point of view are the people willing to commit suicide in the hopes to do us harm. These are the people that we must hunt down and remove from circulation.

The most of the people in the Muslim world are most likely not willing to engage in actual conflict with the United States. However many Muslims do dislike us for a variety of reasons. If the United States made an honest effort to understand these reasons and apply them to our foreign policy the world would be a safer place. It is also easy for a real terrorist to hide among people who just dislike the United States. If the United States followed a foreign policy was realistic in addressing the dislikes of the worlds Muslim population, terrorists would loose supporters, recruits and a population to hide among. It is possible that if we had done this sooner 9/11 may not have occurred. Ultimately there is no way to tell. Hopefully we can try it now and see it help prevent the next attack.

McCain, rebranding himself as the Obama of the right.

ABC News reports that McCain is attempting to relaunch himself and his campaign.

He did so by trying to cast himself as an independent conservative appealing to not just Republicans, but the nation.

"Ours are not red state or blue state problems," McCain said before a crowd of approximately 300 well-wishers underneath an overcast sky. "We can't muddle through the next four years, bickering among ourselves, and leave to others the work that is ours to do."

Honestly it sounds allot like he is trying to pick up Obama's with a Republican twist. "Ours are not red state or blue state problems..." sounds like it is lifted almost directly from Obama's speech at the Democratic convention.

To bad he surrendered credibility by pandering to social conservatives and overplaying the security situation in Iraq.